How many mass shootings might have been prevented by stronger gun laws?
After each mass shooting in America, lawmakers debate a familiar menu of gun control polices. Yet no major reforms have passed Congress since 1994 — and the killings continue. On Wednesday, for instance, multiple people were shot dead at the Molson Coors corporate complex in Milwaukee. The killer’s motives and methods are still unclear.
A new database from The Violence Project provides some insight into the history of mass shooting and what measures, if any, could affect them. Researchers there conducted a detailed study of 167 mass shootings resulting in 1,202 deaths that have occurred in the U.S. since 1966.
We’ve cross-referenced their data with five types of gun control proposals. The analysis reveals that if all of these policies had been in effect at the federal level, they would have had the potential to prevent 146 out of 167 shootings, including all but one shooting in the past five years.
Shooting potentially affected by proposed gun bill
Odessa, Texas
Aug. 31, 2019
Austin, Texas
Aug. 1, 1966
Austin, Texas · Aug. 1, 1966
Odessa, Texas · Aug. 31, 2019
146/167
Shootings
1,100/1,202
Deaths
1,922/1,962
Injuries
There is no guarantee that these laws would be effective in stopping motivated killers from ultimately achieving their goal. Also, some of the proposals are more recent and could not be expected to have stopped attacks in the distant past.
Here are five types of gun laws and which shootings they could have addressed.
Ban on straw purchases
Seeks to stop someone from buying a gun for someone else. Read more
The two shooters at Columbine High School, both minors during the planning phase, had an older friend purchase a firearm for them at a gun show. A ban on straw purchases would have prevented that.
Columbine
April 20, 1999
13 dead
23 injured
Columbine
April 20, 1999
13 dead
23 injured
5/167
Shootings
49/1,202
Deaths
83/1,962
Injuries
Safe storage requirement
Firearms would have to be kept in a locked box when not in use. Read more
This law aims to prevent unauthorized people, like children, from accessing firearms. In 2001, an underage shooter in Sacramento who was blocked from purchasing a semiautomatic weapon was able to kill five people using his father’s firearms.
Sacramento
Sept. 8, 2001
5 dead
2 injured
Sacramento
Sept. 8, 2001
5 dead
2 injured
14/167
Shootings
81/1,202
Deaths
73/1,962
Injuries
Assault weapons ban
This would prohibit the sale of many high-powered rifles. Read more
After the 2012 shooting at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Connecticut, some members of Congress pushed to restore an assault weapons ban that had expired in 2004. The new ban would have included semiautomatic weapons that weren’t in the 1994 law, including the rifle used at Sandy Hook, but the effort failed.
Years when the federal assault weapons ban was in effect
Sandy Hook
Dec. 12, 2012
27 dead
1 injured
Years when the federal assault
weapons ban was in effect
Sandy Hook
Dec. 12, 2012
27 dead
1 injured
38/167
Shootings
372/1,202
Deaths
1,352/1,962
Injuries
Mandatory background checks
Unlicensed dealers would be required to vet prospective buyers with the FBI. Read more
Private sellers, such as those at gun shows, are not required to run a background check on purchasers. Even when background checks are required, they are often sloppy. That was the case in Charleston, S.C., where the shooter was able to purchase a firearm because a felony he committed had not been reported to the FBI.
Charleston church
June 17, 2015
9 dead
0 injured
Charleston church
June 17, 2015
9 dead
0 injured
16/167
Shootings
137/1,202
Deaths
116/1,962
Injuries
Red flag law
Prohibits firearm access to someone who makes violent threats or is suicidal. Read more
The man who killed 17 people at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Fla., had attempted suicide, and his threats to attack a school had been reported to the local sheriff. A red flag law could have given someone the opportunity to intervene.
Stoneman
Douglas
Dec. 12, 2017
27 dead
1 injured
Stoneman Douglas
Dec. 12, 2017
27 dead
1 injured
141/167
Shootings
1,077/1,202
Deaths
1,908/1,962
Injuries
You be the lawmaker. Try your hand at gun control
See what might have happened if different policies, or combinations of policies, had been in effect since 1966.
0/167
Shootings
0/1,202
Deaths
0/1,962
Injuries